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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $75000.00 plus dime player run! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 02, 2024 Giants vs Red Sox |
UNDER 9½ -113 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Boston turns to right-hander Josh Winckowski (1-1, 3.50 ERA), who is scheduled to make his third straight start after seven relief appearances to start the season. He is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in two appearances (no starts) against San Francisco.The righty has allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings since joining the rotation April 2 and projects to have another strong effort here. Meanwhile, San Francisco,, will send Kyle Harrison (2-1, 4.09) who threw six scoreless innings last Friday against Pittsburgh, striking out seven and allowing only five hits. He also projects to last into the mid innings of this game. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN FRANCISCO) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. BOSTON is 16-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.3 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 26-13 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 45-19 UNDER (after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. SF has gone under in 5 straight games. Bosox have gone under in 3 straight. Play on the under |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 02, 2024 Yankees vs Orioles |
UNDER 9 -101 | Tie |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Orioles were shutout yesterday by a 2-0 count and I am now expecting another low scoring tilt in the finale of this 4 game set . It must be noted that the Yankees have scored a total of only four runs in the first three games of the series. The Yanks starter Rodon has pitched well this season, garnering a (2-1, 2.48 ERA) record. In his last two games combined, he has pitched in 13 innings while allowing only one run. He struck out a season-high eight in six innings Saturday at Milwaukee and has momentum entering this game and is back with a viable bullpen that owns a stingy 1.87 ERA on the road this season. On the flip-side right-hander Kyle Bradish is expected to come off the injured list for his season debut. He is a viable hurler, and deserves respect here as hr is fresh and far from tired , and is backed by a quality Os bullpen that has garnered 3.66 ERA at home this season. Im betting on a lower scoring game as my projections estimate both offenses will struggle today. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, playing on Thursday are 36-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpgs clicking in at 7.3. Play under |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | May 02, 2024 Bucks vs Pacers |
OVER 212 -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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In the two games in this play off series played in Indiana the pace and combined scoring outputs have produced exactly 239 points both times. Im now betting on a similar all out output, as the Bucks are on the verge of illumination and will have to be aggressive offensively against the NBAs No 1 offense that will be ready to run and gun their way to the next series. The Bucks upset the Pacers by a 115-92 count at home last time out as the the visitors looked lethargic , but Im betting on a huge rebound here from the Pacers and an all out performance especially on offense where they usually thrive. Note:INDIANA is 20-7 OVER after scoring 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 242.9 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 41 games after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average 232.8 ppg scored. .INDIANA in 33 in home games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season have seen a combined average of 244..3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in 65 games versus sub standard defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 236.1 ppg scored. ***There are reports Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard will return for this game, but still not verified. Play or not Im still expecting offensive fireworks. Play on the over |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
